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Activity title

Impact of Hypersonic Operational Threats on Military Operations and Technical High Level Requirements

Activity Reference

AVT-359

Panel

AVT

Security Classification

Other

Status

Active

Activity type

LTSS

Start date

2020-07-01T00:00:00Z

End date

2024-06-30T00:00:00Z

Keywords

Defence, Deterence, Hypersonic, NDPP, ODAA

Background

Hypersonic operational threats (HOT), like hypersonic glide vehicles (HGV) or hypersonic cruise missiles (HCM) pose significant new threats to NATO and NATO nations. RUS announced the first operational capabilities for late 2019. Therefore, it is of utmost importance to understand the threat and the technology, to identify current capability gaps and to mitigate possible shortfalls in NATO’s deterrence posture. NATO S&T already executed a study concerning hypersonic operational threats, from 2017-2019. This effort is a continuation, focusing on identified areas of special concern.

Objectives

The Long-Term Scientific Study shall give more detailed insight and possibly fragments of solutions for some of the major issues identified in the predecessor study about HOT. It is envisioned to divide the study effort in smaller portions, where applicable. This allows for more timely release of study results and possibly varying levels of classification, if the topic necessitates it. Furthermore, this enables the study leads to invite participants in a more streamlined fashion, which should increase adequate participation.

Topics

Identify scientific and technical developments that might support defensive and offensive HOT options (red and blue) in the near and midterm future. Topics to be covered are listed as follows. The listed topics are not exclusive and are not in a prioritized order. The team might be adjusted and add topics of interest if necessary. - Analysis of interceptor requirements/options and the impact on defense designs - Analysis of sensor requirements and the impact on defense designs - Applications of hypersonic capabilities for blue defensive and offensive forces in a NATO IAMD context - Update of timelines concerning HOT availability for adversaries - Analysis of implications on the OODA loop and military decision making - NATO C2 impact in long-term horizon (20+ years) - M&S for Education, Decision-Making in support of C2 - Defense against HOT by soft- & hard kill measures - Implications on NATO’s Deterrence & Defense Posture - The affordability issues of offensive & defensive Hypersonic Weapon Systems - The interaction / interplay of HOT with other Emerging (Disruptive) Technologies

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